The model said — would. The market priced —. Every selection goes out before kick-off and is graded at the final whistle — this is the whole record, not a highlights reel.
No payment details needed to start. This is analysis, not advice — no outcome is promised.
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Free, every day
The last day's selections, and how each one finished. Nothing is deleted after a bad night.
Method
Four steps, in the same order every day. The same board always produces the same read.
Every fixture becomes a full distribution over scorelines, built from expected goals rather than goals scored, and shrunk toward last season so a short run cannot carry a match on its own.
Results, totals, handicaps and team goals all come out of that one matrix, so they can never contradict each other. The market's own view is read alongside, with the margin stripped out.
Where the model and the market disagree by more than eight points, the selection is refused. The model is not assumed to be right.
The read and the model's numbers are logged before kick-off and graded against the result. That is what makes the record a record rather than a memory.
Founders
Matchdaita is open to friends and family at no cost while the record is still short. Everything a paying subscriber will get, for nothing, in return for being the people who watched it grow.
The morning read, any later run of the day, and the full view on every selection.
Once the record is long enough to charge for, Matchdaita becomes a paid subscription — plans from £14.99 to £47.99 a month. Founders are told first, nothing is charged without your say, and anyone who joined in this phase keeps a founder's price.
No payment details are taken now. No outcome is promised, now or later.
The record
Every day published, what the model said, and what happened. Not a highlights reel.
Each day's read is hashed before kick-off and opened afterwards, so nothing can be changed in between. Check the seals yourself.
Straight answers
Judge it by the record. Of the — selections published so far, — happened, against the — the model said would. A model that is right as often as it says it will be is the whole claim.
For now, yes. While the record is short, friends and family get every run of the day before kick-off for nothing. It becomes a paid subscription once the record is long enough to charge for; founders are told first and keep a founder's price.
It gets published, with the reason. Every selection that did not happen is read against the match — the chances created, every goal and how it came — and the verdict stays on the site.
No. Matchdaita is not a bookmaker. It produces analysis; what you do with it is your own decision, at your own risk.